Sunday, September 23, 2007

Subtropical Storm Jerry

Well, the system in the Gulf did not become Jerry, which is in the Atlantic, but it may become Karen.  And there are two tropical waves coming off Africa.  One will probably move away from us, and one is headed for the Carribean.

Update: 9-24-07: Jerry became a tropical storm (I must have blinked), and now it's a tropical depression.  The two tropical waves may become tropical depressions in a few days (the one closest to Africa is the strongest); and there's something in the Gulf that may become a tropical depression.

Bulletins:

“?”  A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. HOWEVER THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE AREA...AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ON STANDBY TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

 

“K”  A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION... AND IT COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT APPROACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

 

“L”  AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR IT TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...

(Thanks, Lloyd, for the bulletins!)

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